Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.425112 3.999461 4.656156 5.465972 6.442396 7.587499 9.040549
2025-02-02 2.640505 3.391446 4.350635 5.680914 7.502094 9.943223 13.523068
2025-02-09 2.256222 3.084293 4.222619 5.932811 8.491634 12.267932 18.435869
2025-02-16 1.950455 2.798546 4.033498 6.011337 9.192940 14.280398 23.392673
2025-02-23 1.731792 2.588636 3.899116 6.117400 9.920900 16.456747 29.198417
2025-03-02 1.527396 2.362629 3.693973 6.056649 10.337943 18.176449 34.668034
2025-03-09 1.394712 2.227408 3.607238 6.168455 11.063256 20.598433 42.244769
2025-03-16 1.256810 2.062758 3.443604 6.108810 11.446749 22.437507 49.176540
2025-03-23 1.146362 1.929565 3.313697 6.084930 11.887490 24.488310 57.292339
2025-03-30 1.039018 1.788079 3.148587 5.962853 12.095962 26.076640 64.829685
2025-04-06 0.974187 1.715469 3.100755 6.066174 12.808822 29.001159 77.069196
2025-04-13 0.889700 1.596412 2.948367 5.925754 12.940139 30.544336 85.976972
2025-04-20 0.857291 1.583165 3.022699 6.335860 14.588691 36.807968 113.805471
2025-04-27 0.807956 1.532826 3.019996 6.589680 15.973277 43.041485 146.338174
2025-05-04 0.767960 1.494954 3.035919 6.888779 17.567632 50.573742 189.626430
2025-05-11 0.716747 1.426434 2.973632 6.982065 18.623320 56.899765 233.481440
2025-05-18 0.673531 1.369239 2.927780 7.108121 19.821311 64.294532 289.482423
2025-05-25 0.622746 1.288936 2.816179 7.035911 20.390392 69.714592 341.198772
2025-06-01 0.589233 1.243389 2.780941 7.168819 21.678348 78.620962 423.385963
2025-06-08 0.548211 1.175638 2.681511 7.097910 22.258256 84.957651 497.947182
2025-06-15 0.513458 1.118681 2.601471 7.069524 22.992197 92.439491 591.588972
2025-06-22 0.476720 1.052953 2.490156 6.924462 23.256585 97.947098 679.169448
2025-06-29 0.455018 1.021539 2.465014 7.047231 24.613521 109.770303 842.064287